Medicine
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Curing All Solid Tumor Cancers
Achieving >90% cure rates across all solid tumor cancers.
Evidence:clinicaltrialsopenfdametaculus Source refresh pending
27.3%progress
Median Predicted Year
2045
P10: 2035 · P90: 2060
Time to Median Prediction
Syncing countdown…
Progress Index Over Time
Proprietary progress score
Prediction Range
P10 / Median / P90 estimates
expertmarketmodel
Why It Moved — Recent Events
46 days soonerJul 30
Hourly data refresh: 6783 active clinical trials.
Automated data refresh
Accelerators & Bottlenecks
What speeds it up
mRNA cancer vaccines in Phase III
AI precision medicine advancing
What slows it down
Cancer heterogeneity
Clinical trial capacity
Forecast methodology: Progress % and predicted years are computed by our proprietary algorithm combining real-money prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi), expert forecasts weighted by Brier score accuracy, and hard data trend extrapolation using S-curves fitted to clinical trial progression (ClinicalTrials.gov), AI benchmark scores (HuggingFace), publication velocity (arXiv), and drug approvals (openFDA). P10/P50/P90 represent optimistic, median, and pessimistic scenarios. Updated hourly.