Medicine
Live tracking
Curing Brain Cancer (Glioblastoma)
Achieving >90% cure rates for glioblastoma — median survival currently only 15 months.
Evidence:clinicaltrialsopenfdaarxiv Source refresh pending
29.3%progress
Median Predicted Year
2042
P10: 2033 · P90: 2055
Time to Median Prediction
Syncing countdown…
Progress Index Over Time
Proprietary progress score
Prediction Range
P10 / Median / P90 estimates
expertmarketmodel
Why It Moved — Recent Events
50 days soonerJul 30
Hourly data refresh: 2918 active clinical trials.
Automated data refresh
Accelerators & Bottlenecks
What speeds it up
AI drug discovery accelerating
CAR-T for brain tumors advancing
What slows it down
Blood-brain barrier limits drug delivery
Forecast methodology: Progress % and predicted years are computed by our proprietary algorithm combining real-money prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi), expert forecasts weighted by Brier score accuracy, and hard data trend extrapolation using S-curves fitted to clinical trial progression (ClinicalTrials.gov), AI benchmark scores (HuggingFace), publication velocity (arXiv), and drug approvals (openFDA). P10/P50/P90 represent optimistic, median, and pessimistic scenarios. Updated hourly.