Enhancement
Live tracking
Curing Chronic Pain
Effective treatments that eliminate chronic pain for 1.5 billion people.
Evidence:clinicaltrialsopenfdaarxiv Source refresh pending
38.9%progress
Median Predicted Year
2034
P10: 2028 · P90: 2045
Time to Median Prediction
Syncing countdown…
Progress Index Over Time
Proprietary progress score
Prediction Range
P10 / Median / P90 estimates
expertmarketmodel
Why It Moved — Recent Events
6 days soonerAug 20
Hourly data refresh:
Automated data refresh
Accelerators & Bottlenecks
What speeds it up
Neuromodulation advancing
Gene therapy for pain pathways
What slows it down
Heterogeneity of pain conditions
Opioid crisis complicating pain treatment
Forecast methodology: Progress % and predicted years are computed by our proprietary algorithm combining real-money prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi), expert forecasts weighted by Brier score accuracy, and hard data trend extrapolation using S-curves fitted to clinical trial progression (ClinicalTrials.gov), AI benchmark scores (HuggingFace), publication velocity (arXiv), and drug approvals (openFDA). P10/P50/P90 represent optimistic, median, and pessimistic scenarios. Updated hourly.