Longevity
Live tracking
Senolytics Approved Therapy
FDA-approved senolytic drugs that clear zombie cells — removing a root cause of aging.
Evidence:clinicaltrialsopenfdaarxiv Source refresh pending
62.1%progress
Median Predicted Year
2030
P10: 2027 · P90: 2035
Time to Median Prediction
Syncing countdown…
Progress Index Over Time
Proprietary progress score
Prediction Range
P10 / Median / P90 estimates
expertmarketmodel
Why It Moved — Recent Events
7 days soonerAug 20
Hourly data refresh: 7 active clinical trials.
Automated data refresh
14 days soonerJul 30
Hourly data refresh: 7 active clinical trials.
Automated data refresh
Accelerators & Bottlenecks
What speeds it up
Unity Biotechnology Phase II trials
Dasatinib + Quercetin showing promise
What slows it down
Selectivity (killing only senescent cells)
Forecast methodology: Progress % and predicted years are computed by our proprietary algorithm combining real-money prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi), expert forecasts weighted by Brier score accuracy, and hard data trend extrapolation using S-curves fitted to clinical trial progression (ClinicalTrials.gov), AI benchmark scores (HuggingFace), publication velocity (arXiv), and drug approvals (openFDA). P10/P50/P90 represent optimistic, median, and pessimistic scenarios. Updated hourly.