Enhancement
Live tracking
Skill Downloading (Matrix-Style)
The ability to download skills and knowledge directly to the brain via BCI.
Evidence:arxivmetaculus Source refresh pending
17.2%progress
Median Predicted Year
2055
P10: 2040 · P90: 2075
Time to Median Prediction
Syncing countdown…
Progress Index Over Time
Proprietary progress score
Prediction Range
P10 / Median / P90 estimates
expertmarketmodel
Why It Moved — Recent Events
No events yet — data refreshes hourly
Accelerators & Bottlenecks
What speeds it up
BCI technology advancing
Memory augmentation as precursor
What slows it down
Theoretical — requires full BCI + AI integration
Forecast methodology: Progress % and predicted years are computed by our proprietary algorithm combining real-money prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi), expert forecasts weighted by Brier score accuracy, and hard data trend extrapolation using S-curves fitted to clinical trial progression (ClinicalTrials.gov), AI benchmark scores (HuggingFace), publication velocity (arXiv), and drug approvals (openFDA). P10/P50/P90 represent optimistic, median, and pessimistic scenarios. Updated hourly.