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Telepathy via BCI (Thought-to-Thought Communication)

Brain-computer interfaces enabling direct thought-to-thought communication between humans.

Evidence:clinicaltrialsarxivmetaculus Source refresh pending
26.6%progress
Median Predicted Year
2040
P10: 2033 · P90: 2052
Time to Median Prediction
Syncing countdown…
Progress Index Over Time
Proprietary progress score
Prediction Range
P10 / Median / P90 estimates
expertmarketmodel
Why It Moved — Recent Events
No events yet — data refreshes hourly
Accelerators & Bottlenecks
What speeds it up
Non-invasive BCIs decoding language from fMRI
AI neural decoding improving
What slows it down
Privacy implications
Bandwidth limitations

Forecast methodology: Progress % and predicted years are computed by our proprietary algorithm combining real-money prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi), expert forecasts weighted by Brier score accuracy, and hard data trend extrapolation using S-curves fitted to clinical trial progression (ClinicalTrials.gov), AI benchmark scores (HuggingFace), publication velocity (arXiv), and drug approvals (openFDA). P10/P50/P90 represent optimistic, median, and pessimistic scenarios. Updated hourly.